Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.020343 0.022014 0.023757 0.025711 0.027843 0.030100 0.032671
2025-08-31 0.017347 0.019724 0.022340 0.025438 0.029012 0.033015 0.037848
2025-09-07 0.015413 0.018176 0.021339 0.025238 0.029932 0.035418 0.042343
2025-09-14 0.014021 0.017027 0.020580 0.025107 0.030748 0.037577 0.046523
2025-09-21 0.012833 0.015976 0.019794 0.024797 0.031219 0.039234 0.050074
2025-09-28 0.012031 0.015314 0.019400 0.024891 0.032131 0.041422 0.054359
2025-10-05 0.011270 0.014633 0.018910 0.024792 0.032738 0.043193 0.058146
2025-10-12 0.010687 0.014133 0.018606 0.024889 0.033571 0.045266 0.062421
2025-10-19 0.010167 0.013676 0.018317 0.024966 0.034350 0.047275 0.066689
2025-10-26 0.009642 0.013176 0.017931 0.024870 0.034860 0.048905 0.070478
2025-11-02 0.009203 0.012766 0.017638 0.024874 0.035489 0.050713 0.074603
2025-11-09 0.008685 0.012212 0.017110 0.024501 0.035535 0.051652 0.077453
2025-11-16 0.008161 0.011640 0.016546 0.024076 0.035522 0.052567 0.080432
2025-11-23 0.007732 0.011184 0.016129 0.023846 0.035792 0.053928 0.084208
2025-11-30 0.007353 0.010779 0.015762 0.023664 0.036114 0.055370 0.088188
2025-12-07 0.007020 0.010425 0.015450 0.023542 0.036510 0.056935 0.092448
2025-12-14 0.006671 0.010028 0.015048 0.023253 0.036615 0.058023 0.095962
2025-12-21 0.006440 0.009799 0.014893 0.023341 0.037323 0.060121 0.101311
2025-12-28 0.006183 0.009517 0.014637 0.023249 0.037723 0.061716 0.105873
2026-01-04 0.005985 0.009317 0.014500 0.023339 0.038425 0.063849 0.111513
2026-01-11 0.005795 0.009121 0.014359 0.023411 0.039092 0.065949 0.117218
2026-01-18 0.005583 0.008879 0.014130 0.023322 0.039471 0.067558 0.122108
2026-01-25 0.005402 0.008680 0.013963 0.023325 0.040008 0.069467 0.127674